The Better-Late-Than-Never Oscar Picks

I'd planned on providing some analysis for my picks, but this late in the day, factoring in no nap for my 20-month old daughter, and this is the best I can do (picks only):

Best Picture
Will win: Slumdog Millionaire
Should win: Slumdog Millionaire

Best Director
Will win: Danny Boyle
Should win: Danny Boyle

Best Actor
Will win: Mickey Rourke
Should win: Mickey Rourke or Sean Penn

Best Actress
Will win: Kate Winslet
Should win: Anne Hathaway

Best Supporting Actor
Will win: Heath Ledger
Should win: Heath Ledger

Best Supporting Actress
Will win: Penelope Cruz
Should win: Viola Davis

Best Art Direction
Will win: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Should win: The Dark Knight

Best Cinematography
Will win: Slumdog Millionaire
Should win: The Dark Knight

Best Costume Design
Will win: The Duchess
Should win: ???

Best Documentary
Will win: Man on Wire
Should win: ???

Best Animated Feature
Will win: WALL-E
Should win: WALL-E

Best Documentary Short Subject
Will win: The Witness - From the Balcony of Room 306
Should win: ???

Best Film Editing
Will win: Slumdog Millionaire
Should win: Slumdog Millionaire

Best Foreign-Language Film
Will win: The Class
Should win: ???

Best Make-Up
Will win: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Should win: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button

Best Score
Will win: Slumdog Millionaire
Should win: Slumdog Millionaire

Best Song
Will win: "Jai Ho", Slumdog Millionaire
Should win: "Jai Ho", Slumdog Millionaire

Best Animated Short Film
Will win: Presto
Should win: ???

Best Live-Action Short Film
Will win: Spielzeugland (Toyland)
Should win: ???

Best Sound Editing
Will win: The Dark Knight
Should win: The Dark Knight

Best Sound Mixing
Will win: The Dark Knight
Should win: The Dark Knight

Best Visual Effects
Will win: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Should win: The Dark Knight

Best Adapted Screenplay
Will win: Slumdog Millionaire
Should win: Slumdog Millionaire

Best Original Screenplay
Will win: Milk
Should win: Happy-Go-Lucky

And since most tie-breakers involve the length of the Oscars, and the producers have been running a tight ship in recent years, I'll predict the length to be 3:02:01.